347 
ACUS11 KWNS 221948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221941
MOZ000-222200-

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430 FOR CENTRAL MO...
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS IMMINENT ALONG SURFACE FRONT
ACROSS CENTRAL MO.  ALTHOUGH LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO
EXIST...WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

LINE OF TCU / DEVELOPING CBS IS OBSERVED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP
ACROSS SWRN MO ATTM INVOF WIND SHIFT / LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE FRONT NOW LYING FROM NEAR JLN TO NEAR UIN. 
MOIST / VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS ACROSS THIS REGION WITH 2500
TO 3000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE INDICATED BY OBJECTIVE ANALYSES...
WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

DESPITE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...LATEST VWPS FROM SGF
/ LSX AND WNC / CNW PROFILERS INDICATE WEAK DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD 
SUGGESTING THAT SEVERE THREAT WILL BE FROM MAINLY PULSE STORMS
CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS / MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL.  UNLESS
STORMS CAN BECOME ORGANIZED ALONG THE SLOW-MOVING FRONT...WW NOT
ANTICIPATED.  

..GOSS.. 07/22/02

PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/ FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...